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Red429
1425190.6
5458139.9
1678246.7
Blue288
5700127.9
299118.0
6918118.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4861570100200300400600700429288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246.70.2
246.7246.9
Auto24.5
Teleop178.7
End43.4
red by 118.8
5700
#22
127.90.3
127.2127.5
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End24.4
Second
1425
#11
190.60.3
190.0190.3
Auto19.8
Teleop135.8
End34.5
red by 71.8
6918
#17
118.90.1
118.6118.7
Auto17.8
Teleop92.6
End9.8
Third
5458
#15
139.90.3
139.1139.4
Auto18.8
Teleop99.8
End21.5
red by 21.8
299
#8
118.00.8
116.3117.1
Auto14.3
Teleop89.6
End19.0