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Red197
4171114.5
603997.6
1425190.6
Blue352
114140.6
701133.3
1662145.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295310200250350400197352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#11
190.62.7
200.9198.1
Auto19.8
Teleop135.8
End34.5
red by 45.1
1662
#14
145.50.4
148.2147.8
Auto19.3
Teleop106.6
End14.7
Second
4171
#42
114.51.9
126.4124.5
Auto16.0
Teleop84.8
End14.6
blue by 26.1
114
#4
140.61.3
124.8126.1
Auto16.9
Teleop116.4
End12.1
Third
6039
#32
97.60.9
105.8104.9
Auto14.3
Teleop77.3
End6.1
blue by 35.8
701
#26
133.32.0
136.8134.9
Auto22.0
Teleop104.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed