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Qual 22018 Capital City Classic
Red96
1425190.6
4698139.9
701133.3
Blue235
1678246.7
5700127.9
7137115.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304385010020050060070096235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#11
190.61.3
202.2→200.9
Auto19.8
Teleop135.8
End34.5
blue by 56.1
1678
#3
246.71.6
252.2→250.6
Auto24.5
Teleop178.7
End43.4
Second
4698
#16
139.90.6
143.7→143.1
Auto16.2
Teleop109.4
End13.7
red by 12.0
5700
#22
127.91.9
138.4→136.5
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End24.4
Third
701
#26
133.30.4
137.2→136.8
Auto22.0
Teleop104.7
End8.3
red by 17.8
7137
#35
115.50.7
118.3→118.9
Auto15.5
Teleop87.2
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed85%Face the Boss oddsMissed