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Red246
1280133.1
3598136.1
2551133.1
Blue488
6174125.7
1323222.0
701133.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2393740100200300500600700246488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3598
#36
136.10.2
137.2137.0
Auto21.4
Teleop102.8
End12.0
blue by 85.9
222.00.5
213.3213.7
Auto24.2
Teleop170.8
End26.3
Second
2551
#34
133.10.1
133.6133.5
Auto18.9
Teleop100.1
End14.5
blue by 0.3
701
#26
133.30.8
131.8131.0
Auto22.0
Teleop104.7
End8.3
Third
1280
#31
133.10.3
135.8135.5
Auto16.1
Teleop100.2
End16.6
red by 7.3
125.71.2
116.5117.7
Auto19.1
Teleop95.4
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsEarned