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Red218
6918118.9
2135138.4
3598136.1
Blue358
5496151.0
4643111.6
5026152.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2783530100200400500600700218358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#23
138.40.1
141.0141.2
Auto21.8
Teleop97.8
End16.5
blue by 13.8
5026
#10
152.22.0
154.0152.0
Auto18.0
Teleop121.1
End16.7
Second
3598
#36
136.10.3
139.0138.8
Auto21.4
Teleop102.8
End12.0
blue by 14.9
5496
#29
151.00.7
155.7156.3
Auto15.2
Teleop113.9
End21.8
Third
6918
#17
118.90.8
118.6117.8
Auto17.8
Teleop92.6
End9.8
red by 7.2
4643
#40
111.60.4
118.4118.9
Auto16.6
Teleop83.0
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed