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Red166
3859126.0
6174125.7
7229105.3
Blue421
603997.6
6814109.6
1678246.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2163580100300400500600700166421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3859
#21
126.00.3
128.0127.7
Auto18.9
Teleop89.8
End15.4
blue by 120.7
246.70.2
244.5244.3
Auto24.5
Teleop178.7
End43.4
Second
125.72.2
117.7119.9
Auto19.1
Teleop95.4
End12.8
red by 16.1
109.61.9
101.0102.9
Auto15.8
Teleop83.2
End10.6
Third
7229
#30
105.31.2
101.7102.9
Auto14.1
Teleop81.8
End13.4
red by 7.7
6039
#32
97.62.0
99.697.6
Auto14.3
Teleop77.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed67%Face the Boss oddsEarned