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Red268
199131.6
5499144.0
5700127.9
Blue288
6918118.9
5458139.9
1425190.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663500100200300400500600268288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#20
144.01.0
140.4141.4
Auto17.8
Teleop112.3
End13.2
blue by 46.6
1425
#11
190.61.2
193.0191.7
Auto19.8
Teleop135.8
End34.5
Second
199
#38
131.60.1
128.6128.7
Auto18.9
Teleop101.4
End11.1
blue by 8.2
5458
#15
139.90.8
140.2139.4
Auto18.8
Teleop99.8
End21.5
Third
5700
#22
127.91.1
128.2127.1
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End24.4
red by 9.0
6918
#17
118.90.2
118.5118.2
Auto17.8
Teleop92.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed37%Face the Boss oddsMissed