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Red108
1671153.6
4255108.9
5924134.0
Blue381
199131.6
3859126.0
1662145.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33129402004006008001,0001,2001,400108381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#12
153.60.7
154.5155.1
Auto22.2
Teleop108.8
End20.2
red by 8.1
1662
#14
145.50.6
145.9145.2
Auto19.3
Teleop106.6
End14.7
Second
5924
#24
134.00.1
135.3135.4
Auto17.2
Teleop100.8
End12.3
red by 2.4
199
#38
131.60.2
129.2129.5
Auto18.9
Teleop101.4
End11.1
Third
4255
#44
108.90.5
111.2110.7
Auto14.0
Teleop88.2
End4.6
blue by 17.2
3859
#21
126.01.1
127.3126.1
Auto18.9
Teleop89.8
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed