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Qual 582018 Capital City Classic
Red180
2551133.1
6814109.6
4643111.6
Blue329
6918118.9
5940131.3
5700127.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503160100200400500600700180329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#34
133.10.3
133.9→133.6
Auto18.9
Teleop100.1
End14.5
red by 1.7
5940
#41
131.31.4
134.0→132.6
Auto15.2
Teleop105.7
End8.0
Second
4643
#40
111.60.8
113.3→112.5
Auto16.6
Teleop83.0
End11.8
blue by 16.3
5700
#22
127.90.1
126.7→126.8
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End24.4
Third
6814
#5
109.62.1
105.5→107.6
Auto15.8
Teleop83.2
End10.6
blue by 9.3
6918
#17
118.90.1
118.0→118.2
Auto17.8
Teleop92.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed