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Red276
6981106.5
2643147.0
1280133.1
Blue295
4171114.5
1671153.6
5496151.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953470100200400500600276295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#43
147.00.2
147.1146.9
Auto18.0
Teleop112.8
End15.9
blue by 6.7
1671
#12
153.61.0
155.1154.2
Auto22.2
Teleop108.8
End20.2
Second
1280
#31
133.10.9
134.1133.2
Auto16.1
Teleop100.2
End16.6
blue by 17.9
5496
#29
151.01.2
152.5151.3
Auto15.2
Teleop113.9
End21.8
Third
6981
#37
106.50.1
106.6106.5
Auto16.1
Teleop80.0
End12.0
blue by 8.0
4171
#42
114.51.1
115.5114.5
Auto16.0
Teleop84.8
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed