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Red183
6474164.4
4255108.9
3189121.4
Blue399
2551133.1
5700127.9
1425190.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553730100200300500600183399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6474
#33
164.40.8
165.8165.0
Auto18.8
Teleop124.7
End19.9
blue by 26.2
1425
#11
190.60.2
189.7190.0
Auto19.8
Teleop135.8
End34.5
Second
3189
#25
121.40.6
122.2121.6
Auto17.2
Teleop91.5
End12.2
blue by 11.7
2551
#34
133.10.5
133.6133.1
Auto18.9
Teleop100.1
End14.5
Third
4255
#44
108.91.8
110.7108.9
Auto14.0
Teleop88.2
End4.6
blue by 19.0
5700
#22
127.90.4
126.8127.2
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsEarned