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Qual 22018 CalGames
Red268
114123.5
2473120.3
4159143.4
Blue187
100136.0
2489126.6
1868137.2
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310307100150200250350400450500268187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#6
143.40.2
143.7→143.9
Auto20.0
Teleop111.4
End12.4
red by 6.3
1868
#7
137.20.7
139.1→138.4
Auto18.0
Teleop107.7
End13.6
Second
114
#9
123.50.9
117.4→118.2
Auto15.8
Teleop103.8
End5.7
blue by 12.5
100
#14
136.01.3
128.2→129.6
Auto18.5
Teleop100.2
End20.2
Third
2473
#19
120.31.3
121.4→122.7
Auto15.7
Teleop92.9
End7.4
blue by 6.3
2489
#30
126.61.0
129.8→130.8
Auto15.1
Teleop95.7
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed