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Qual 252018 CalGames
Red289
115153.3
1868137.2
114123.5
Blue267
25398.9
2643156.6
649156.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062700100200400500289267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#4
153.30.7
152.1→152.8
Auto19.8
Teleop117.0
End15.1
blue by 3.4
2643
#18
156.61.2
153.2→154.4
Auto18.7
Teleop120.8
End17.0
Second
1868
#7
137.21.1
137.3→136.2
Auto18.0
Teleop107.7
End13.6
blue by 18.9
649
#5
156.11.1
157.4→156.3
Auto20.1
Teleop130.1
End7.0
Third
114
#9
123.50.3
119.1→119.3
Auto15.8
Teleop103.8
End5.7
red by 24.6
253
#27
98.91.1
102.1→101.0
Auto14.2
Teleop76.2
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed