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Qual 272018 CalGames
Red305
2813116.1
688491.2
4990133.5
Blue348
751123.1
972123.2
1967131.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2253370100300400500600305348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4990
#29
133.52.1
139.6→137.5
Auto17.4
Teleop99.8
End14.0
red by 2.5
1967
#2
131.11.1
125.9→127.1
Auto16.4
Teleop97.5
End18.3
Second
2813
#15
116.11.0
117.9→116.9
Auto18.2
Teleop87.6
End10.7
blue by 7.0
972
#25
123.20.9
123.2→122.3
Auto15.5
Teleop97.8
End13.8
Third
6884
#33
91.21.8
95.1→93.2
Auto17.1
Teleop68.3
End5.1
blue by 31.9
751
#16
123.10.7
125.1→124.4
Auto16.6
Teleop100.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed