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Red263
4904145.6
6174116.7
1351117.9
Blue312
1868137.2
681496.7
2813116.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3202130100400500600700800263312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#12
145.61.1
147.1146.0
Auto18.1
Teleop113.3
End13.5
red by 8.4
137.20.3
135.5135.2
Auto18.0
Teleop107.7
End13.6
Second
1351
#28
117.91.0
118.9117.9
Auto17.4
Teleop92.5
End7.9
red by 1.8
2813
#15
116.10.5
116.4115.9
Auto18.2
Teleop87.6
End10.7
Third
6174
#22
116.71.4
118.7117.3
Auto16.6
Teleop93.0
End6.2
red by 20.0
6814
#24
96.70.9
97.396.3
Auto16.1
Teleop75.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed