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Red366
972123.2
649156.1
668143.2
Blue19
682291.9
3045103.4
543098.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382189010030050060070080036619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#5
156.12.1
161.3159.2
Auto20.1
Teleop130.1
End7.0
red by 52.7
3045
#23
103.41.1
105.9107.0
Auto17.5
Teleop79.9
End6.6
Second
668
#13
143.20.1
148.9148.8
Auto23.6
Teleop105.6
End11.7
red by 44.4
5430
#32
98.81.0
104.0104.9
Auto13.0
Teleop77.7
End7.0
Third
972
#25
123.20.8
122.4123.2
Auto15.5
Teleop97.8
End13.8
red by 31.2
6822
#34
91.91.6
95.396.8
Auto14.8
Teleop73.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed