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Red412
1323185.2
1678236.3
3970142.8
Blue118
6474166.0
1072146.7
3880139.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454279200400600800412118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236.30.6
235.1235.7
Auto31.0
Teleop158.2
End49.2
red by 70.3
6474
#18
166.00.5
165.3165.7
Auto19.1
Teleop126.0
End21.1
Second
185.21.0
183.2184.2
Auto26.2
Teleop128.3
End30.9
red by 38.4
146.70.7
145.6146.4
Auto20.0
Teleop111.9
End14.5
Third
3970
#34
142.80.4
143.5143.2
Auto16.8
Teleop109.6
End12.5
red by 3.6
3880
#59
139.20.2
139.0139.2
Auto15.4
Teleop104.7
End19.4