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Qual 222018 Sacramento Regional
Red184
7308100.8
3880139.2
4171112.7
Blue267
1351121.5
7057102.2
5458114.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832630100200400500600700800184267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#59
139.20.5
132.2→132.7
Auto15.4
Teleop104.7
End19.4
red by 17.8
1351
#37
121.59.7
97.0→106.7
Auto13.7
Teleop97.6
End8.3
Second
4171
#45
112.75.2
96.7→101.9
Auto15.0
Teleop87.1
End13.5
blue by 1.9
5458
#52
114.62.8
111.0→113.7
Auto14.9
Teleop88.5
End13.2
Third
7308
#64
100.812.7
77.7→90.4
Auto11.8
Teleop78.4
End12.1
blue by 1.4
7057
#49
102.29.9
77.7→87.6
Auto13.7
Teleop83.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed