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Qual 282018 Sacramento Regional
Red223
3303111.7
4643130.0
3880139.2
Blue489
1678236.3
5496142.3
5480123.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343920100200300500600223489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#59
139.20.4
132.7→132.2
Auto15.4
Teleop104.7
End19.4
blue by 97.0
1678
#1
236.33.1
213.0→216.2
Auto31.0
Teleop158.2
End49.2
Second
4643
#32
130.09.1
98.3→107.3
Auto16.7
Teleop95.6
End15.3
blue by 12.3
5496
#6
142.39.6
104.0→113.6
Auto15.3
Teleop108.3
End17.7
Third
3303
#65
111.75.3
105.2→110.6
Auto13.6
Teleop87.8
End8.4
blue by 11.8
5480
#24
123.64.9
97.4→102.3
Auto15.5
Teleop89.2
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed30%Face the Boss oddsEarned