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Qual 362018 Sacramento Regional
Red385
2141124.2
2035125.5
6474166.0
Blue292
3257112.2
6619111.7
5728113.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3482120100300400500385292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6474
#18
166.01.6
152.1→153.7
Auto19.1
Teleop126.0
End21.1
red by 53.0
5728
#15
113.03.6
99.5→103.1
Auto15.2
Teleop87.1
End14.3
Second
2035
#17
125.53.0
116.4→119.4
Auto16.8
Teleop96.2
End10.9
red by 13.3
3257
#62
112.25.6
104.3→109.9
Auto16.2
Teleop88.0
End4.7
Third
2141
#23
124.24.6
114.0→118.6
Auto16.6
Teleop99.1
End6.3
red by 12.5
6619
#33
111.75.7
99.2→104.9
Auto13.4
Teleop89.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed