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Qual 382018 Sacramento Regional
Red411
1458120.5
4135142.4
295139.5
Blue135
4698128.7
6305111.2
5458114.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299274100150200250350400450411135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4135
#9
142.47.7
119.6→127.4
Auto20.9
Teleop105.2
End15.2
red by 13.6
4698
#31
128.78.9
104.9→113.8
Auto13.7
Teleop97.8
End17.8
Second
295
#11
139.52.5
119.9→122.4
Auto18.1
Teleop108.6
End12.0
red by 24.9
5458
#52
114.61.3
113.7→115.1
Auto14.9
Teleop88.5
End13.2
Third
1458
#10
120.50.3
119.3→119.0
Auto16.2
Teleop90.5
End12.2
red by 9.4
6305
#61
111.23.5
111.0→114.5
Auto14.7
Teleop84.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed