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Qual 402018 Sacramento Regional
Red326
5480123.6
852131.8
1351121.5
Blue236
199139.4
1072146.7
6644110.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308277100200400500600326236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
#50
131.86.2
120.2→126.4
Auto14.2
Teleop99.3
End13.6
blue by 14.9
1072
#4
146.75.9
114.4→120.2
Auto20.0
Teleop111.9
End14.5
Second
5480
#24
123.65.6
102.3→107.9
Auto15.5
Teleop89.2
End20.1
blue by 15.8
199
#35
139.40.2
137.2→137.4
Auto20.7
Teleop104.3
End13.1
Third
1351
#37
121.54.9
112.7→117.6
Auto13.7
Teleop97.6
End8.3
red by 10.8
6644
#41
110.75.5
93.2→98.7
Auto12.9
Teleop86.2
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed