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Qual 592018 Sacramento Regional
Red435
1678236.3
4698128.7
7229105.4
Blue151
5274122.6
682297.3
6918118.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4231820100300500600435151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#1
236.32.9
222.4→225.4
Auto31.0
Teleop158.2
End49.2
red by 113.7
5274
#39
122.64.3
115.6→119.9
Auto17.7
Teleop88.4
End19.4
Second
4698
#31
128.73.7
117.8→121.5
Auto13.7
Teleop97.8
End17.8
red by 10.1
6918
#38
118.63.6
109.3→112.9
Auto16.0
Teleop94.3
End5.9
Third
7229
#28
105.41.7
99.8→101.5
Auto14.7
Teleop83.5
End6.3
red by 8.1
6822
#58
97.31.0
98.0→97.1
Auto12.6
Teleop78.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
39%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed