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Qual 732018 Sacramento Regional
Red70
3501148.6
3257112.2
6305111.2
Blue605
5817143.9
2144155.3
1351121.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27834310020040050060070605

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#20
148.61.0
148.3→149.3
Auto15.9
Teleop118.2
End14.5
blue by 6.7
2144
#25
155.35.4
142.6→148.0
Auto19.4
Teleop111.8
End25.3
Second
3257
#62
112.21.7
118.5→116.8
Auto16.2
Teleop88.0
End4.7
blue by 31.7
5817
#12
143.94.4
132.2→136.5
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End23.2
Third
6305
#61
111.20.1
114.5→114.6
Auto14.7
Teleop84.1
End8.5
blue by 10.3
1351
#37
121.51.6
122.2→120.6
Auto13.7
Teleop97.6
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed