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Red472
1323185.2
1678236.3
3970142.8
Blue38
2141124.2
5496142.3
6918118.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484205010030040060070080047238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236.30.7
233.7234.4
Auto31.0
Teleop158.2
End49.2
red by 94.0
142.30.2
142.3142.5
Auto15.3
Teleop108.3
End17.7
Second
185.21.2
180.8182.0
Auto26.2
Teleop128.3
End30.9
red by 61.0
2141
#23
124.20.5
123.7124.2
Auto16.6
Teleop99.1
End6.3
Third
3970
#34
142.80.5
144.5144.0
Auto16.8
Teleop109.6
End12.5
red by 24.2
6918
#38
118.60.5
118.1118.6
Auto16.0
Teleop94.3
End5.9