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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Central Valley Regional
Red479
5817141.2
649157.0
1671152.2
Blue140
3495139.1
1388154.6
3303120.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3573060100200400500600700479140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#6
157.00.1
156.2→156.4
Auto20.2
Teleop125.5
End10.9
red by 2.3
1388
#7
154.60.3
154.2→154.5
Auto20.4
Teleop119.4
End13.5
Second
1671
#19
152.20.1
151.6→151.7
Auto20.5
Teleop108.9
End23.1
red by 13.2
3495
#23
139.10.7
138.0→138.6
Auto16.4
Teleop103.7
End20.7
Third
5817
#27
141.20.2
140.4→140.5
Auto17.1
Teleop106.6
End19.1
red by 21.0
3303
#22
120.30.3
119.9→120.2
Auto16.2
Teleop94.6
End9.5