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Red261
4201141.6
709687.6
6305109.0
Blue499
649157.0
4160137.3
2085137.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223330100300400500600261499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#15
141.60.5
141.6142.1
Auto21.5
Teleop109.9
End9.4
blue by 15.3
649
#6
157.00.1
153.3153.3
Auto20.2
Teleop125.5
End10.9
Second
6305
#12
109.01.3
107.0105.7
Auto19.0
Teleop82.8
End9.0
blue by 28.3
2085
#18
137.30.8
124.8125.6
Auto16.3
Teleop108.8
End12.5
Third
7096
#46
87.66.8
92.098.8
Auto15.1
Teleop70.4
End1.4
blue by 49.7
4160
#25
137.31.1
124.6125.7
Auto17.6
Teleop107.1
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed