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Red242
295137.9
1671152.2
6305109.0
Blue354
5026162.6
5274121.3
299106.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222750100200400500600700242354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#19
152.20.3
152.7152.9
Auto20.5
Teleop108.9
End23.1
blue by 10.4
5026
#10
162.60.7
149.5150.1
Auto23.7
Teleop123.6
End14.4
Second
295
#43
137.91.3
142.3143.6
Auto19.7
Teleop109.0
End8.8
red by 16.7
5274
#38
121.30.9
122.8121.9
Auto16.6
Teleop85.4
End18.5
Third
6305
#12
109.00.3
105.7105.3
Auto19.0
Teleop82.8
End9.0
red by 2.7
299
#32
106.30.2
102.7102.5
Auto12.2
Teleop83.8
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed