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Red150
671191.2
5104145.5
5700148.5
Blue393
6305109.0
1678254.2
6506116.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2374190100200300500600700150393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5700
#11
148.52.6
135.3137.9
Auto19.5
Teleop102.7
End28.9
blue by 105.7
254.21.6
244.2245.9
Auto30.6
Teleop172.0
End48.3
Second
5104
#24
145.50.3
142.5142.8
Auto16.5
Teleop112.3
End17.9
red by 29.0
6506
#33
116.56.7
108.9115.6
Auto15.8
Teleop91.6
End10.1
Third
6711
#47
91.22.5
102.299.7
Auto15.1
Teleop69.2
End5.3
blue by 17.8
6305
#12
109.01.0
105.3104.4
Auto19.0
Teleop82.8
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed67%Face the Boss oddsEarned