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Red156
299106.3
7057110.2
692109.8
Blue378
5817141.2
4160137.3
6657119.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197350100300400500600700156378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7057
#31
110.20.9
103.5104.4
Auto14.8
Teleop88.0
End6.9
blue by 31.0
5817
#27
141.21.1
144.2143.1
Auto17.1
Teleop106.6
End19.1
Second
692
#42
109.80.8
108.2109.0
Auto16.3
Teleop81.4
End14.3
blue by 27.5
4160
#25
137.31.6
128.1129.7
Auto17.6
Teleop107.1
End11.4
Third
299
#32
106.30.4
102.8103.2
Auto12.2
Teleop83.8
End11.9
blue by 13.0
6657
#17
119.33.1
103.8107.0
Auto15.6
Teleop92.5
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed