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Red424
709687.6
6506116.5
1323222.6
Blue81
1422114.8
6804102.8
7057110.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371195010030050060070042481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222.62.6
185.2187.8
Auto29.1
Teleop154.1
End39.3
red by 107.8
1422
#44
114.816.8
67.083.9
Auto15.0
Teleop89.1
End12.3
Second
6506
#33
116.517.3
63.080.3
Auto15.8
Teleop91.6
End10.1
red by 6.2
7057
#31
110.20.2
102.2102.1
Auto14.8
Teleop88.0
End6.9
Third
7096
#46
87.69.8
87.677.7
Auto15.1
Teleop70.4
End1.4
blue by 15.3
6804
#30
102.825.1
102.877.7
Auto13.9
Teleop79.5
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed