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Red355
3189122.0
649157.0
696152.4
Blue197
6699111.3
1388154.6
6506116.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337296100150200250400450500355197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#6
157.00.3
154.4154.7
Auto20.2
Teleop125.5
End10.9
red by 2.3
154.61.3
148.0149.3
Auto20.4
Teleop119.4
End13.5
Second
696
#5
152.40.8
144.5145.3
Auto21.1
Teleop120.0
End10.9
red by 36.0
6506
#33
116.55.3
115.6120.9
Auto15.8
Teleop91.6
End10.1
Third
3189
#28
122.01.1
113.2114.2
Auto14.6
Teleop95.3
End13.1
red by 10.7
6699
#41
111.30.1
115.0115.1
Auto17.9
Teleop81.8
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed