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Red320
2443130.4
5026162.6
1662148.5
Blue340
3495139.1
692109.8
1323222.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311374100200500600700320340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#10
162.61.3
153.0154.3
Auto23.7
Teleop123.6
End14.4
blue by 60.0
222.62.9
205.5208.4
Auto29.1
Teleop154.1
End39.3
Second
1662
#16
148.52.4
141.1143.5
Auto19.0
Teleop102.7
End27.2
red by 9.5
3495
#23
139.10.8
133.3134.1
Auto16.4
Teleop103.7
End20.7
Third
2443
#26
130.41.3
131.7130.4
Auto20.7
Teleop101.6
End9.6
red by 20.6
692
#42
109.80.5
109.3109.8
Auto16.3
Teleop81.4
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsEarned