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Red306
5134127.9
696152.4
766104.0
Blue353
3189122.0
4201141.6
7057110.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813060100200400500600306353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#5
152.40.6
147.6148.2
Auto21.1
Teleop120.0
End10.9
red by 10.8
4201
#15
141.61.1
141.5140.4
Auto21.5
Teleop109.9
End9.4
Second
5134
#37
127.91.2
122.5123.6
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End15.7
red by 5.9
3189
#28
122.01.5
116.4117.9
Auto14.6
Teleop95.3
End13.1
Third
766
#39
104.01.4
105.4104.0
Auto15.9
Teleop82.0
End10.1
blue by 6.2
7057
#31
110.20.7
106.8107.5
Auto14.8
Teleop88.0
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed