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Red382
3303120.3
2443130.4
2854127.2
Blue244
2085137.3
3859128.2
6506116.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683010200400600800382244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#26
130.40.4
129.4128.9
Auto20.7
Teleop101.6
End9.6
blue by 6.9
2085
#18
137.30.8
135.9136.7
Auto16.3
Teleop108.8
End12.5
Second
2854
#36
127.21.0
121.8122.9
Auto15.7
Teleop102.0
End7.8
blue by 1.1
3859
#29
128.21.2
125.6126.8
Auto17.8
Teleop92.8
End21.2
Third
3303
#22
120.31.1
115.4116.4
Auto16.2
Teleop94.6
End9.5
red by 3.8
6506
#33
116.51.2
119.2118.0
Auto15.8
Teleop91.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed