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Red297
5026162.6
6926117.9
3189122.0
Blue415
4201141.6
299106.3
1197174.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30933602004006008001,0001,200297415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#10
162.61.6
159.4161.0
Auto23.7
Teleop123.6
End14.4
blue by 12.0
174.61.2
171.5172.7
Auto18.7
Teleop134.1
End20.7
Second
3189
#28
122.00.9
121.0122.0
Auto14.6
Teleop95.3
End13.1
blue by 19.6
4201
#15
141.60.7
140.6141.3
Auto21.5
Teleop109.9
End9.4
Third
6926
#40
117.90.0
117.9117.9
Auto14.8
Teleop95.2
End7.5
red by 11.6
299
#32
106.30.9
105.4106.3
Auto12.2
Teleop83.8
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed