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Red322
5700148.5
692109.8
6804102.8
Blue240
671191.2
3189122.0
6657119.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2882590100200400500322240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5700
#11
148.51.9
129.4131.3
Auto19.5
Teleop102.7
End28.9
red by 26.5
3189
#28
122.01.7
105.1106.8
Auto14.6
Teleop95.3
End13.1
Second
692
#42
109.81.4
103.7105.1
Auto16.3
Teleop81.4
End14.3
blue by 9.5
6657
#17
119.314.0
71.185.1
Auto15.6
Teleop92.5
End11.9
Third
6804
#30
102.810.7
77.788.5
Auto13.9
Teleop79.5
End13.9
red by 11.6
6711
#47
91.212.5
77.690.0
Auto15.1
Teleop69.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed