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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Orange County Regional
Red427
3473137.8
5805153.3
812114.2
Blue304
4999120.3
4322146.8
5857123.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3212870100200400500600427304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5805
#4
153.30.9
147.0→147.9
Auto18.7
Teleop112.0
End27.8
red by 6.5
4322
#7
146.81.1
145.7→146.8
Auto18.8
Teleop106.3
End24.8
Second
3473
#12
137.80.2
135.6→135.8
Auto17.0
Teleop109.1
End14.0
red by 14.7
5857
#33
123.10.8
122.3→123.1
Auto13.4
Teleop98.8
End14.0
Third
812
#11
114.20.6
109.8→110.4
Auto17.3
Teleop96.3
End5.4
blue by 6.0
4999
#37
120.30.4
119.8→120.3
Auto15.1
Teleop87.6
End17.5