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Red236
5634108.9
4079140.4
5857123.1
Blue282
4322146.8
7157108.0
669294.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249268100150200300350400450236282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4079
#21
140.411.1
91.1102.2
Auto16.0
Teleop112.7
End15.1
blue by 6.4
146.810.4
101.7112.1
Auto18.8
Teleop106.3
End24.8
Second
5857
#33
123.112.8
84.997.7
Auto13.4
Teleop98.8
End14.0
red by 15.1
7157
#28
108.011.4
77.789.1
Auto14.2
Teleop85.7
End7.4
Third
5634
#45
108.98.3
78.586.8
Auto15.0
Teleop82.6
End14.3
red by 14.2
6692
#44
94.711.9
78.890.7
Auto13.4
Teleop73.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed