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Qual 152018 Orange County Regional
Red127
5137130.1
4056119.3
704294.6
Blue285
4276140.7
7230125.0
1836163.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216355100300400500600127285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5137
#23
130.10.0
128.2→128.2
Auto16.0
Teleop90.8
End26.9
blue by 33.7
1836
#9
163.80.4
155.5→155.9
Auto29.3
Teleop117.7
End15.3
Second
4056
#42
119.312.8
85.0→97.8
Auto12.3
Teleop93.7
End13.4
blue by 21.3
4276
#20
140.710.2
104.9→115.1
Auto17.9
Teleop108.5
End14.1
Third
7042
#47
94.60.7
104.5→103.7
Auto12.6
Teleop77.1
End7.1
blue by 30.4
7230
#17
125.015.7
77.7→93.4
Auto16.6
Teleop92.2
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed