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Red180
299104.6
6535113.7
4114110.3
Blue187
6220107.7
6955122.2
1159124.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2742270100200300400500180187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6535
#25
113.79.9
85.995.8
Auto15.8
Teleop87.6
End10.1
blue by 10.8
1159
#18
124.55.2
98.4103.6
Auto16.0
Teleop93.9
End15.2
Second
4114
#46
110.34.9
96.9101.8
Auto14.9
Teleop84.7
End12.2
blue by 12.0
6955
#26
122.28.2
87.195.3
Auto16.4
Teleop92.4
End12.3
Third
299
#49
104.62.9
98.6101.5
Auto11.3
Teleop84.4
End9.6
blue by 3.0
6220
#36
107.74.2
87.791.9
Auto13.7
Teleop86.1
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed