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Red199
4999120.3
5634108.9
5512105.0
Blue201
5810126.1
4141112.8
5835107.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245276100150200300350400199201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4999
#37
120.33.0
108.1111.1
Auto15.1
Teleop87.6
End17.5
blue by 5.8
5810
#15
126.13.8
109.5113.3
Auto16.9
Teleop100.7
End7.6
Second
5634
#45
108.93.9
96.099.9
Auto15.0
Teleop82.6
End14.3
blue by 3.9
4141
#32
112.80.3
113.3113.6
Auto15.2
Teleop87.3
End8.9
Third
5512
#43
105.01.4
102.6104.0
Auto14.7
Teleop80.8
End11.2
blue by 2.7
5835
#22
107.71.6
105.3107.0
Auto17.2
Teleop83.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed