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Red458
4415144.3
1515137.2
3309184.3
Blue151
4276140.7
696089.8
5137130.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4081900100300500600458151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.33.9
158.0162.0
Auto24.6
Teleop130.1
End34.4
red by 43.6
4276
#20
140.73.6
127.7131.3
Auto17.9
Teleop108.5
End14.1
Second
4415
#14
144.30.7
138.7139.4
Auto20.4
Teleop103.3
End24.8
red by 14.2
5137
#23
130.10.3
126.6126.9
Auto16.0
Teleop90.8
End26.9
Third
137.21.6
126.1127.6
Auto15.9
Teleop101.2
End19.4
red by 47.4
6960
#50
89.81.2
93.992.7
Auto13.0
Teleop71.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed