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Qual 552018 Orange County Regional
Red363
812114.2
4619115.4
5805153.3
Blue126
6535113.7
1159124.5
5477105.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2712600100200300400500600363126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5805
#4
153.33.9
133.2→137.1
Auto18.7
Teleop112.0
End27.8
red by 28.8
1159
#18
124.56.1
116.7→122.8
Auto16.0
Teleop93.9
End15.2
Second
4619
#19
115.41.6
111.7→110.2
Auto14.2
Teleop90.9
End7.8
red by 1.7
6535
#25
113.71.4
118.2→119.6
Auto15.8
Teleop87.6
End10.1
Third
812
#11
114.20.2
106.6→106.4
Auto17.3
Teleop96.3
End5.4
red by 9.3
5477
#10
105.01.0
103.8→104.8
Auto16.8
Teleop79.6
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed