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Qual 622018 Orange County Regional
Red431
4322146.8
4619115.4
3476187.2
Blue368
5209117.0
3491118.6
4415144.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362243100200300400500600431368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#2
187.23.9
171.3→175.2
Auto26.4
Teleop130.2
End29.9
red by 42.8
4415
#14
144.31.5
139.4→140.9
Auto20.4
Teleop103.3
End24.8
Second
4322
#7
146.84.5
135.2→139.7
Auto18.8
Teleop106.3
End24.8
red by 28.2
3491
#29
118.60.7
115.0→115.7
Auto14.2
Teleop95.8
End8.5
Third
4619
#19
115.41.1
110.2→111.2
Auto14.2
Teleop90.9
End7.8
blue by 1.6
5209
#24
117.01.4
111.8→113.2
Auto17.2
Teleop86.0
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed