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Red133
696089.8
6904114.9
5805153.3
Blue454
3473137.8
4141112.8
1836163.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343260100200400500600133454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.34.6
137.1141.7
Auto18.7
Teleop112.0
End27.8
blue by 10.5
163.80.7
160.0160.7
Auto29.3
Teleop117.7
End15.3
Second
6904
#34
114.95.4
107.5112.9
Auto16.6
Teleop88.3
End11.9
blue by 22.9
3473
#12
137.80.6
131.7132.3
Auto17.0
Teleop109.1
End14.0
Third
6960
#50
89.80.6
92.792.1
Auto13.0
Teleop71.3
End8.2
blue by 23.0
4141
#32
112.81.0
113.5112.6
Auto15.2
Teleop87.3
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed