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Red249
6955122.2
6072127.2
7157108.0
Blue483
2496107.1
3309184.3
5966111.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423310100200300400500249483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6072
#31
127.22.4
119.0121.4
Auto15.0
Teleop99.9
End11.6
blue by 57.0
184.34.2
162.0166.1
Auto24.6
Teleop130.1
End34.4
Second
6955
#26
122.22.6
109.7112.3
Auto16.4
Teleop92.4
End12.3
red by 10.5
5966
#27
111.82.2
105.2107.4
Auto14.2
Teleop87.2
End14.6
Third
7157
#28
108.00.4
107.1106.7
Auto14.2
Teleop85.7
End7.4
red by 0.9
107.11.4
99.9101.3
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned