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Qual 862018 Orange County Regional
Red254
4056119.3
4141112.8
1515137.2
Blue267
4619115.4
5835107.7
2496107.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3342360100200300400500600254267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#3
137.22.2
132.3→134.5
Auto15.9
Teleop101.2
End19.4
red by 21.8
4619
#19
115.41.7
113.7→115.4
Auto14.2
Teleop90.9
End7.8
Second
4056
#42
119.30.1
119.4→119.3
Auto12.3
Teleop93.7
End13.4
red by 11.6
5835
#22
107.71.3
106.4→107.7
Auto17.2
Teleop83.2
End6.7
Third
4141
#32
112.80.3
112.5→112.8
Auto15.2
Teleop87.3
End8.9
red by 5.7
2496
#8
107.12.2
103.7→105.9
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed