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Red265
3476187.2
3309184.3
6955122.2
Blue259
1836163.8
5802195.1
7157108.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399326100200500600700800265259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.20.7
185.7186.4
Auto26.4
Teleop130.2
End29.9
blue by 7.9
195.10.7
194.4195.1
Auto23.5
Teleop144.4
End27.9
Second
184.31.5
180.5182.0
Auto24.6
Teleop130.1
End34.4
red by 20.5
163.80.4
163.4163.8
Auto29.3
Teleop117.7
End15.3
Third
6955
#26
122.20.7
120.6121.4
Auto16.4
Teleop92.4
End12.3
red by 14.2
7157
#28
108.00.1
107.9108.0
Auto14.2
Teleop85.7
End7.4