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Red337
4972131.6
1197153.6
696133.7
Blue295
1726144.0
5124148.8
4133.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2993260100200400500600337295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.61.1
151.3152.4
Auto15.8
Teleop115.0
End25.2
red by 4.8
148.80.8
146.0146.8
Auto14.9
Teleop118.7
End13.8
Second
696
#25
133.70.5
132.6133.1
Auto15.2
Teleop107.1
End12.4
blue by 10.3
144.00.6
141.8142.4
Auto17.1
Teleop110.6
End16.2
Third
4972
#12
131.60.3
130.9131.2
Auto12.7
Teleop102.1
End19.5
blue by 1.6
4
#44
133.10.6
130.9131.5
Auto14.8
Teleop102.1
End15.7